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Sunday, 5 April 2020

COVID-19 5th April 2020


Summary

The total number of cases in Spain (126,168) has overtaken Italy (124,632). However, new cases have been lower for each of the 3 days since the double peaks of 8,271 26 Mar and 8,195 1 Apr at 6,969.

New cases in Italy seem to be stabilising between 4,500-5,000.

New cases in Germany are down from the 'double peak' of 2 days ago (6,933 27 Mar 6,813 2 Apr) to 4,933.

As as stated a few days ago, I believe now that Italy, Spain and Germany may now have seen their peaks, but in France, UK and US new cases may still have to reach their peak.

Daily deaths in the UK have risen for the 5th day from 381 on 31 Mar to 708 and UK now has 2nd highest death rate of 10.3% (after Italy 12.3%) but the new cases have dropped from the previous 3 highs over 4,000 to 3,738.

US continues to see new cases increase daily, up nearly 2,000 more than the previous day to 34,196 with total cases now 311,357 a 250% increase in the last week. UK and France have also seen increases of cases 245% and 240% respectively.

France saw the highest number of new cases in Europe (7,788) and their highest to date excepting the 'adjustment' yesterday to include nursing homes.


Latest stats from Worldometers

Latest v previous day - increase/decrease

Country
New Cases
4 Apr
New Cases
3 Apr
New Case Increase
 
Deaths
4 Apr
 
Deaths
3 Apr
 
Death
Increase
IT 4,805 4,585 220 681 766 -85
ES 6,969 7,134 -165 749 850 -101
DE 4,933 6,365 -1,432 169 168 1
FR 7,788 23,060 -15,272 1,053 1120 -67
UK 3,735 4,450 -715 708 684 24
US 34,196 32,284 1,912 1,060 1322 -262

Latest v previous day - actuals

Daily 04-Apr 03-Apr
Country New Cases Total Cases No. Deaths Death Rate% Total Cases No. Deaths Death Rate%
IT 4,805 124,632 15,362 12.3% 119,827 14,681 12.3%
ES 6,969 126,168 11,947 9.5% 119,199 11,198 9.4%
DE 4,933 96,092 1,444 1.5% 91,159 1,275 1.4%
FR 7,788 89,953 7,560 8.4% 82,165 6,507 7.9%
UK 3,735 41,903 4,313 10.3% 38,168 3,605 9.4%
US 34,196 311,357 8,452 2.7% 277,161 7,392 2.7%

Latest v one week ago - actuals

Weekly 04-Apr 28-Mar
Country New Cases Total Cases No. Deaths Death Rate%
Total
Cases
No.
Deaths
Death Rate%
IT 4,805 124,632 15,362 12.3% 92,472 10,023 10.8%
ES 6,969 126,168 11,947 9.5% 73,235 5,982 8.2%
DE 4,933 96,092 1,444 1.5% 57,695 433 0.8%
FR 7,788 89,953 7,560 8.4% 37,575 2,314 6.2%
UK 3,735 41,903 4,313 10.3% 17,089 1,019 6.0%
US 34,196 311,357 8,452 2.7% 123,578 2,220 1,8%

Latest v one week - rate of increase

Daily Weekly
Country
Total
Cases
Increase
Factor
Death Rate
 Increase Factor
Total
Cases
Increase
Factor
Death Rate
 Increase Factor
IT 104.0% 100.6% 134.8% 113.7%
ES 105.8% 100.8% 172.3% 115.9%
DE 105.4% 107.4% 166.6% 200.2%
FR 109.5% 106.1% 239.4% 136.5%
UK 109.8% 109.0% 245.2% 172.6%
US 112.3% 101.8% 2529.0% 151.1%


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