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Thursday, 9 April 2020

COVID-19 9th April 2020


Summary

Early signs that the US 'may' have peaked on 4th Apr with 34,196 new cases as, for the 5th day running, new cases have been lower than this, with latest figures for new cases being 31,935. Thankfully, with total cases quickly approaching 500,000 probably within the next 2 days, the death rate is low at 3.2%.

Spain new cases increased by 1,011 (6,278) but still continue to be lower than peak 8,271 26 Mar.

Italy new cases increased by 797 (3,836) but still continue to be lower than peak 6,557 21 Mar.

Germany new cases increased by 1,345 (5,633) but still continue to be lower than the peak 6,933 27 Mar.

France continues to be unpredictable with new cases reducing by 7,187 (3,881) from yesterday big spike of 11,059.

UK new cases increased 1,857 (5,491) to its 2nd highest number to date after 2 days of decline, but still lower than the peak 5,903 5 Apr.  The worrying trend is that deaths are increasing daily from yesterday's high of 786 to 938.  The number of deaths has tripled in one week from 2,352 on 1 Apr to 7,097 8 Apr. This is the highest of all 6 countries being reported and UK death rate is now only 1% lower than Italy 11.7% v 12.7%.  The average death rate globally is currently 8%.

Rate of increase in deaths by country in last week
IT 135%
ES 157%
DE 252%
FR 269%
UK 301%
US 285%

France, UK and US have all seen the total number of cases double in the last week
FR 56,989 v 112,950 (198%)
UK 29,474 v 60.733 (206%)
US 216,408 v 434,927 (200%)

Latest stats from Worldometers


Latest v previous day - increase/decrease

Country
New Cases
8 Apr
New Cases
7 Apr
New Case Increase
 
Deaths
8 Apr
 
Deaths
7 Apr
 
Death
Increase
IT 3,836 3,039 797 542 604 -62
ES 6,278 5,267 1,011 747 704 43
DE 5,633 4,288 1,345 333 206 127
FR 3,881 11,059 -7,178 541 1417 -876
UK 5,491 3,634 1,857 938 786 152
US 31,935 33,331 -1,396 1,947 1970 -23

Latest v previous day - actuals

Daily 08-Apr 07-Apr
Country New Cases Total Cases No. Deaths Death Rate% Total Cases No. Deaths Death Rate%
IT 3,836 139,422 17,669 12.7% 135,586 17,127 12.6%
ES 6,278 148,220 14,792 10.0% 141,192 14,045 9.9%
DE 5,633 113,296 2,349 2.1% 107,633 2,016 1.9%
FR 3,881 112,950 10,869 9.6% 109,969 10,328 9.4%
UK 5,491 60,733 7,097 11.7% 55,242 6,159 11.1%
US 31,935 434,927 14,788 3.4% 400,335 12,841 3.2%

Latest v one week ago - actuals

Weekly 08-Apr 01-Apr
Country New Cases Total Cases No. Deaths Death Rate%
Total
Cases
No.
Deaths
Death Rate%
IT 3,836 139,422 17,669 12.7% 110,574 13,155 11.9%
ES 6,278 148,220 14,792 10.0% 104,118 9,387 9.0%
DE 5,633 113,296 2,349 2.1% 77,981 931 1.2%
FR 3,881 112,950 10,869 9.6% 56,989 4,032 7.1%
UK 5,491 60,733 7,097 11.7% 29,474 2,352 8.0%
US 31,935 434,927 14,788 3.4% 216,408 5,197 2.4%

Latest v one week ago - percentage increase cases / deaths

Daily Weekly
Country
Total
Cases
Increase
Factor
Death Rate
 Increase Factor
Total
Cases
Increase
Factor
Death Rate
 Increase Factor
IT 102.8% 100.3% 126.1% 106.5%
ES 105.0% 100.3% 142.4% 110.7%
DE 105.3% 110.7% 145.3% 173.7%
FR 102.7% 102.5% 198.2% 136.0%
UK 109.9% 104.8% 206.1% 146.4%
US 108.6% 106.0% 201.0% 141.6%



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