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Tuesday, 12 May 2020

COVID-19 12th May 2020


Summary

New
Cases
Change Deaths Change
Rec'ry
Rate
Death
Rate
IT 744 92.77% 179 108.5% 77.62% 22.38%  Inc.
ES 3,480 185.11% 123 86.0% 86.93% 13.07%  Inc.
DE 697 125.59% 92 460.0% 95.00% 5.00%  Red.
FR 453 145.19% 263 375.7% 68.04% 31.96%  Red.
UK 3,877 98.83% 210 78.4% 1.06% 98.94%  Red.
US 18,196 89.51% 1,008 134.4% 76.22% 23.78%  Inc.

Commentary

IT - new cases -58 (92.77%), deaths +14 (108.48%), active cases -836 (76.19% of peak)
New cases have been below 1,000 for last 2 days - the lowest since 10 Mar.

ES - new cases +1,600 (185.11%), deaths -20 (86.01%), active cases +1,950 (63.87% of peak).
Spain began to relax lockdown about a week ago - so are this increase in new infections a  result of that?  The active cases have been decreasing daily since 23 Apr but increased for the first time yesterday since.

FR - new cases +141 (145.19%), deaths +193 (375.71%), active cases -317 (98.63% of peak)

DE - new cases +142 (125.59%), deaths +72 (460%), active cases -612 (26.48% of peak)

US - new cases -2,133 (89.51%), deaths +258 (134.4%), active cases +11,299 (100% peak)
Lowest no. of new cases (18,186) since 26 Mar (17,474) and last 2 days have seen lowest no. deaths since 1 Apr.

UK - new cases -46 (98.83%), deaths -58 (78.46%), active cases +3,667 (100% of peak)

UK Testing - last 7 days
Testing reached target of 100,000 for first time since 1 May.  Johnson announced new target of 200,000 by 1 Jun so figures need to double in 3 weeks ... let's see.

Daily Cumulative
No. Tests
People 
Tested
No. Tests
People 
Tested
% No. People
Tested
04-May 84,806 69,839 1,383,842 1,015,138 82.35%
05-May 69,463 57,006 1,448,010 1,072,144 82.07%
06-May 86,583 85,092 1,534,533 1,139,626 98.28%
07-May 97,029 67,443 1,631,561 1,207,069 69.51%
08-May 96,878 63,339 1,728,443 1,270,408 65.38%
09-May 92,837 64,362 1,821,280 1,334,770 69.33%
10-May 100,490 65,337 1,921,770 1,400,197 65.02%

Latest stats from Worldometers


Latest v previous day - Recovery rate v Death Rate

Total Active Conc. Recvd. Deaths Recvd% Death%
IT 219,814 82,488 137,326 106,587 30,739 77.62% 22.38%
ES 268,143 63,553 204,590 177,846 26,744 86.93% 13.07%
DE 172,576 19,298 153,278 145,617 7,661 95.00% 5.00%
FR 177,423 94,056 83,367 56,724 26,643 68.04% 31.96%
UK 223,060 190,651 32,409 344 32,065 1.06% 98.94%
US 1,385,834 1,041,814 344,020 262,225 81,795 76.22% 23.78%

Latest v previous day - increase / decrease

Country
New Cases
11 May
New Cases
10 May
New Case Increase
 
Deaths
11 May
 
Deaths
10 May
 
Death
Increase
IT 744 802 -58 179 165 14
ES 3,480 1,880 1,600 123 143 -20
DE 697 555 142 92 20 72
FR 453 312 141 263 70 193
UK 3,877 3,923 -46 210 268 -58
US 18,196 20,329 -2,133 1,008 750 258

Latest v previous day - actuals

Day 11-May 10-May
Ctry New Cases Total Cases No. Deaths Death Rate% Total Cases No. Deaths Death Rate%
IT 744 219,814 30,739 14.0% 219,070 30,560 13.9%
ES 3,480 268,143 26,744 10.0% 264,663 26,621 10.1%
DE 697 172,576 7,661 4.4% 171,879 7,569 4.4%
FR 453 177,423 26,643 15.0% 176,970 26,380 14.9%
UK 3,877 223,060 32,065 14.4% 219,183 31,855 14.5%
US 18,196 1,385,834 81,795 5.9% 1,367,638 80,787 5.9%

Latest v one week ago - actuals

Week 11-May 04-May
Ctry New Cases Total Cases No. Deaths Death Rate% Total
Cases
No.
Deaths
Death Rate%
IT 744 219,814 30,739 14.0% 211,938 29,079 13.7%
ES 3,480 268,143 26,744 10.0% 248,301 25,428 10.2%
DE 697 172,576 7,661 4.4% 166,152 6,993 4.2%
FR 453 177,423 26,643 15.0% 169,462 25,201 14.9%
UK 3,877 223,060 32,065 14.4% 190,584 28,734 15.1%
US 18,196 1,385,834 81,795 5.9% 1,212,835 69,921 5.8%

Latest v one week ago - percentage rate increase

Daily Weekly
Country
Total
Cases
Increase
Factor
Death Rate
 Increase Factor
Total
Cases
Increase
Factor
Death Rate
 Increase Factor
IT 100.3% 100.2% 103.7% 101.9%
ES 101.3% 99.2% 108.0% 97.4%
DE 100.4% 100.8% 103.9% 105.5%
FR 100.3% 100.7% 104.7% 101.0%
UK 101.8% 98.9% 117.0% 95.3%
US 101.3% 99.9% 114.3% 102.4%
This week v one week ago - percentage rate increase

The table below shows change between this weeks change and last weeks change to show whether cases/deaths are increasing or  reducing.

In summary all countries weekly cases are reducing except for France and all countries weekly death rate is reducing except for Italy.

Week 11 May Week 4 May Weekly Change
Ctry
Total
Cases
Inc.
Factor
Death Rate
 Inc. Factor
Total
Cases
Inc.
Factor
Death Rate
 Inc. Factor
Case Change Death Change
IT 103.7% 101.9% 106.3% 101.4% -2.6% 0.5%
ES 108.0% 97.4% 108.2% 99.9% -0.2% -2.5%
DE 103.9% 105.5% 104.7% 109.1% -0.8% -3.6%
FR 104.7% 101.0% 103.8% 104.2% 0.9% -3.3%
UK 117.0% 95.3% 121.3% 97.1% -4.2% -1.8%
US 114.3% 102.4% 120.0% 102.6% -5.8% -0.2%



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