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Friday, 3 April 2020

COVID-19 3rd April 2020


Worldwide figures
Total Cases:           1,016,766
Total Recoveries:      213,161 (21%)
Total Deaths:               53,242 (5%)

Cases in Italy, US, Spain and Germany now all exceed China and account for 55% of world cases (556,978). 

Italy has now had 12 days of new cases lower than the peak on 21st Mar (6,667) but have been up for the last 2 days from the low of 4,050 on 30 Mar.

Spain peaked at 8,271 new cases on 27th Mar but still continues to have around 8,000 cases per day.  Spain has had the highest number of daily cases of all European countries.
 
As predicted a few days ago Germany now has more cases than China 84,794 v 81,620.  Germany 'may' have peaked at 6,933 on 27th Mar, but new cases have been increasing for the last 3 days from the low on 39th Mar of 4,450 to 6,813.

France has seen a massive reduction in cases 2,745 (2,116 v 4,861) but with an equally massive increase in deaths up 846 from previous day (1,355 v 509)

UK now has triple the number of cases than it had a week ago (33,718 v 11,658) (as does US).  Spain, Germany and France have double and Italy has one and a half.  UK has seen it's 2nd highest number of new cases, slightly lower than the highest on 1st Apr (4,224 v 4,324). Italy reached its peak on13th day of lockdown (9th Mar) on 21st Mar so let's hope that the UK peak was 1st Apr, but that's only 9th day of UK lockdown so we may see higher cases yet. 

US cases have almost tripled in a week from 85,435 to  244,877 and has seen new cases increase each day since 22nd Mar, but fortunately their death rate is relatively low at 2.5%.

Latest stats from Worldometers

Daily increase cases/deaths
Country
New Cases
2 Apr
New Cases
1 Apr
New Case Increase
 
Deaths
2 Apr
 
Deaths
1 Apr
 
Death
Increase
IT 4,668 4,782 -114 760 727 33
ES 7,947 8,192 -245 961 923 38
DE 6,813 6,173 640 176 156 20
FR 2,116 4,861 -2,745 1,355 509 846
UK 4,224 4,324 -100 569 563 6
US 29,874 26,473 3,401 968 1049 -81
Daily actuals v previous day

Daily 02-Apr 1 Apr (-1 Day)
Country New Cases Total Cases No. Deaths Death Rate% Total Cases No. Deaths Death Rate%
IT 4,668 115,242 13,915 12.1% 110,574 13,155 11.9%
ES 7,947 112,065 10,348 9.2% 104,118 9,387 9.0%
DE 6,813 84,794 1,107 1.3% 77,981 931 1.2%
FR 2,116 59,105 5,387 9.1% 56,989 4,032 7.1%
UK 4,224 33,718 2,921 8.7% 29,474 2,352 8.0%
US 29,874 244,877 6,070 2.5% 215,003 5,102 2.4%
Latest actuals v one week ago

Weekly 02-Apr 26 Mar (-1 Week)
Country New Cases Total Cases No. Deaths Death Rate%
Total
Cases
No.
Deaths
Death Rate%
IT 4,668 115,242 13,915 12.1% 80,589 8,215 10.2%
ES 7,947 112,065 10,348 9.2% 57,786 4365 7.6%
DE 6,813 84,794 1,107 1.3% 43,938 267 0.6%
FR 2,116 59,105 5,387 9.1% 29,155 1696 5.8%
UK 4,224 33,718 2,921 8.7% 11,658 578 5.0%
US 29,874 244,877 6,070 2.5% 85,435 1295 1.5%
Daily/Weekly increase percentage

Daily Weekly
Country
Total
Cases
Increase
Factor
Death Rate
 Increase Factor
Total
Cases
Increase
Factor
Death Rate
 Increase Factor
IT 104.2% 101.5% 143.0% 118.5%
ES 107.6% 102.4% 193.9% 122.2%
DE 108.7% 109.4% 193.0% 214.8%
FR 103.7% 128.8% 202.7% 156.7%
UK 114.4% 108.6% 289.2% 174.7%
US 113.9% 104.5% 286.6% 163.5%


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