COVID10-15th April 2020

Summary

US new cases exceed 30,000 once again (30,206) and deaths up 75 on yesterday's figures at 2,482. New York cases now exceed 200,000 (214,648) with next worst affected state New Jersey with 71,030 cases.

Recovery Rate v Death Rate

63.06% v 36.94% recovery rate increasing

ES saw a spike in new cases of 6,599 the highest number for 11 days with an increase in deaths of 58 at 557.

Recovery Rate v Death Rate

79.33% v 20.6% recovery rate increasing

IT new cases continue to reduce and remain under 3,000 (2,667) and deaths reduce by 44 at 558.

Recovery Rate v Death Rate

63.77% v 36.23% recovery rate reducing

FR new cases reduced by 2,004 to 4,520 but number of deaths almost doubled from 762 to 1,438 to their highest number to date and the 6th day that deaths in France have been over 1,000.

Recovery Rate v Death Rate

64.33% v 34.67% recovery rate reducing

DE new cases up 405 to 2,543 and deaths up 8 to 405

Recovery Rate v Death Rate

95.02% v 4.98% recovery rate reducing

UK new cases dwon 649 to 4,603 and deaths down 17 to 761.

As predicted UK is on course for 100,000 cases exactly in line with Italy 4/5 days after 75,000 cases.

Recovery Rate v Death Rate

2.6% v 97.4% recovery rate reducing

NOTE UK does not appear to be removing recovered cases from active cases hence low recovery rate

Latest stats from Worldometers

Latest Recovery Rate v Death Rate

	Total	Active	Conc.	Recvd.	Deaths	Recvd%	Death%
IT	165,155	105,418	59,737	38,092	21,645	63.77%	36.23%
ES	180,549	90,994	90,994	72,182	18,812	79.33%	20.67%
DE	134,753	58,349	76,404	72,600	3,804	95.02%	4.98%
FR	147,863	99,741	48,122	30,955	17,167	64.33%	35.67%
UK	98,476	85,264	13,212	344	12,868	2.60%	97.40%
US	644,089	566,859	77,230	48,701	28,529	63.06%	36.94%

Latest v previous day - increase / deacreass

Country	New Cases 15 Apr	New Cases 14 Apr	New Case Increase	Deaths 15 Apr	Deaths 14 Apr	Death Increase
IT	2,667	2,972	-305	558	602	-44
ES	6,599	3,961	2,638	557	499	58
DE	2,543	2,138	405	309	301	8
FR	4,520	6,524	-2,004	1,438	762	676
UK	4,603	5,252	-649	761	778	-17
US	30,206	26,945	3,261	2,482	2,407	75

Latest v previous day - actuals

Daily	15-Apr				14-Apr
Country	New Cases	Total Cases	No. Deaths	Death Rate%	Total Cases	No. Deaths	Death Rate%
IT	2,667	165,155	21,625	13.1%	162,488	21,067	13.0%
ES	6,599	180,549	18,812	10.4%	174,060	18,255	10.5%
DE	2,543	134,753	3,804	2.8%	132,210	3,495	2.6%
FR	4,520	147,863	17,167	11.6%	143,303	15,729	11.0%
UK	4,603	98,476	12,868	13.1%	93,873	12,107	12.9%
US	30,206	644,089	28,529	4.4%	613,886	26,047	4.2%

Latest v one week ago - actuals

Weekly	15-Apr				08-Apr
Country	New Cases	Total Cases	No. Deaths	Death Rate%	Total Cases	No. Deaths	Death Rate%
IT	2,667	165,155	21,645	13.1%	139,422	17,669	12.7%
ES	6,599	180,549	18,812	10.4%	148,220	14,792	10.0%
DE	2,543	134,753	3,804	2.8%	113,296	2,349	2.1%
FR	4,520	147,863	17,167	11.6%	112,950	10,869	9.6%
UK	4,603	98,476	12,868	13.1%	60,733	7,097	11.7%
US	30,206	644,089	28,529	4.4%	435,518	14,811	3.4%

Latest v one week ago - percentage rate increase

	Daily		Weekly
Country	Total Cases Increase Factor	Death Rate  Increase Factor	Total Cases Increase Factor	Death Rate  Increase Factor
IT	101.6%	101.0%	118.5%	103.4%
ES	103.7%	99.3%	121.8%	104.4%
DE	101.9%	106.8%	118.9%	136.2%
FR	103.2%	105.8%	130.9%	120.7%
UK	104.9%	101.3%	162.1%	111.8%
US	104.9%	104.4%	147.9%	130.2%