COVID-19 29th April 2020

Summary

	New Cases	Change	Deaths	Change	Rec'ry Rate	Death Rate
IT	2,891	+66.24%	372	+11.7%	71.60%	28.40%	Increasing
ES	2,706	-3.11%	301	-9.1%	83.87%	16.13%	Increasing
DE	1,154	+16.80%	188	+25.3%	94.90%	5.10%	Reducing
FR	2,638	+124.89%	367	-16.0%	66.46%	33.54%	Increasing
UK	3,996	-7.26%	586	+62.8%	1.56%	98.44%	Reducing
US	25,409	+9.54%	2,469	+78.4%	70.59%	29.41%	Reducing

Commentary

IT - increased new cases and deaths, active cases reducing slowly for 9 days

ES - reduced new cases and deaths, active cases have reduced each day for 7 days

DE - increased new cases and deaths but active cases continue to reduce.

FR - increased new cases - reduced deaths, active cases levelling off for 10 days around 95,000

UK - reduced new cases - increased deaths

As predicted a few days ago UK now has more cases than Germany as their cases reduce and UK continues to have around 4,000 or more per day

Latest testing figures (source DHSCgovuk) show less than half the 100,000 target (45,563) is being met with less than 30,000 people being tested i.e. over half the people tested (29,571) being tested twice.

US - increased new cases and deaths, active cases continue to increase and show no signs of slowing down. Deaths over 2,000 at their 5th highest level.  A sobering fact is that more US citizens have now died from COVID-19 than died in the Vietnam war.

Latest stats from Worldometers

Latest v previous day - Recovery rate v Death Rate

	Total	Active	Conc.	Recvd.	Deaths	Recvd%	Death%
IT	201,505	105,205	96,300	68,951	27,349	71.60%	28.40%
ES	232,128	84,403	147,725	123,903	23,822	83.87%	16.13%
DE	159,912	36,198	123,714	117,400	6,314	94.90%	5.10%
FR	165,911	95,365	70,546	46,886	23,660	66.46%	33.54%
UK	161,145	139,123	22,022	344	21,678	1.56%	98.44%
US	1,035,765	834,261	201,504	142,238	59,266	70.59%	29.41%

Latest v previous day - increase / decrease

Country	New Cases 28 Apr	New Cases 27 Apr	New Case Increase	Deaths 28 Apr	Deaths 27 Apr	Death Increase
IT	2,891	1,739	1,152	372	333	39
ES	2,706	2,793	-87	301	331	-30
DE	1,154	988	166	188	150	38
FR	2,638	1,173	1,465	367	437	-70
UK	3,996	4,309	-313	586	360	226
US	25,409	23,196	2,213	2,469	1,384	1,085

Latest v previous day - actuals

Daily	28-Apr				27-Apr
Country	New Cases	Total Cases	No. Deaths	Death Rate%	Total Cases	No. Deaths	Death Rate%
IT	2,891	201,505	27,349	13.6%	199,414	26,977	13.5%
ES	2,706	232,128	23,822	10.3%	229,422	23,521	10.3%
DE	1,154	159,912	6,314	3.9%	158,758	6,126	3.9%
FR	2,638	165,911	23,660	14.3%	163,273	23,293	14.3%
UK	3,996	161,145	21,678	13.5%	157,149	21,092	13.4%
US	25,409	1,035,765	59,266	5.7%	1,010,356	56,797	5.6%

Latest v one week ago - actuals

Weekly	28-Apr				21-Apr
Country	New Cases	Total Cases	No. Deaths	Death Rate%	Total Cases	No. Deaths	Death Rate%
IT	2,891	201,505	27,349	13.6%	183,957	24,648	13.4%
ES	2,706	232,128	23,822	10.3%	204,178	21,282	10.4%
DE	1,154	159,912	6,314	3.9%	148,453	5,086	3.4%
FR	2,638	165,911	23,660	14.3%	153,351	20,796	13.6%
UK	3,996	161,145	21,678	13.5%	128,044	17,337	13.5%
US	25,409	1,035,765	59,266	5.7%	824,229	45,536	5.5%

Latest v one week ago - percentage rate increase

	Daily		Weekly
Country	Total Cases Increase Factor	Death Rate  Increase Factor	Total Cases Increase Factor	Death Rate  Increase Factor
IT	101.0%	100.3%	109.5%	101.3%
ES	101.2%	100.1%	113.7%	98.5%
DE	100.7%	102.3%	107.7%	115.2%
FR	101.6%	100.0%	108.2%	105.2%
UK	102.5%	100.2%	125.9%	99.4%
US	102.5%	101.8%	125.7%	103.6%